Policy-driven recovery fuels housing boom in China’s major cities

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China’s real estate sector is displaying tentative signs of revival as premium land auctions in key urban centers suggest shifting market dynamics. Recent bidding wars for prime locations indicate developers are regaining confidence, particularly in tech hubs like Hangzhou and Nanjing, where premium rates have reached levels not seen since before the pandemic.

The turnaround follows local governments’ gradual relaxation of price controls, with average land premiums in major cities stabilizing around 20% this year – a significant jump from earlier figures. Nanjing’s Hexi district saw a 43% premium, while Hangzhou witnessed a staggering 70% markup on a prime parcel purchased by Binjiang Real Estate Group for 5.2 billion yuan. These transactions mark a stark contrast to the depressed auction environment during COVID-19 restrictions.

Industry analysts view these developments as early indicators of market stabilization, though challenges persist. CRIC research director Ma Qianli notes that the improved land transaction performance could signal broader recovery potential, especially with urban renewal projects gaining traction. The combination of policy adjustments and strategic redevelopment initiatives may create more favorable conditions for sustained growth through 2025.

This emerging trend represents a notable departure from recent years when liquidity crises and buyer hesitancy plunged the sector into turmoil. As developers cautiously re-engage with high-value projects and local governments adapt their land sales strategies, China’s property market appears poised for gradual rehabilitation, though the path forward remains carefully balanced between stimulus measures and financial prudence.

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